每日原則：做可信度加權的決策

知道自己可能會犯大錯，以及想了解其他聰明人能用什麽不同眡角來看待事物的好奇心，促使我從自己的眡角同時也從別人的眡角來看待事物。這比僅用自己的眡角多了很多維度來看待事物。學會如何衡量人們的意見竝從中選擇最好的 ，換句話說，就是對我的決策進行可信度加權，這樣能提高我做出正確決策的概率，是非常美妙的事情。

My painful mistakes shifted me from having a perspective of 'I know I'm right' to having one of 'How do I know I'm right?' They gave me the humility I needed to balance my audacity.

Knowing that I could be painfully wrong and curiosity about why other smart people saw things

differently prompted me to look at things through the eyes of others as well as my own. That allowed me to see many more dimensions than if I saw things just through my own eyes. Learning how to weigh people’s inputs so that I chose the best ones—in other words, so that I believability-weighted my decision making—increased my chances of being right and was thrilling.